Going into the draft, Iron City had some tough choices to make. Coming off back-to-back championship seasons, management dearly wanted to try for the three-peat. But too many gaping holes in the lineup and rotation made that next to impossible. Winning in Mudville is arguably harder than any other league I've ever been in -- mainly because our small league size (20 teams) really packs a lot of talent on every team. So in order to win, your team has to be STACKED. To attempt to win with two or more holes on your team is basically folly. Sure, it can be done -- but the wise owner makes every possible move to plug every possible hole he can.
Ultimately, management conceded that there weren't enough assets left to trade (most picks were already gone, traded last year to maximize the strength of that squad) to plug the holes. So with great regret, management decided to sell off the immediately valuable assets and try and restock through the Mudville draft. The talent in this draft was very deep, so the goal was to acquire as many picks as possible.
Two players that Iron City initially deemed untouchable -- Adam Wainwright and CC Sabathia -- were ultimately dealt when the opportunity to get back potentially equal replacements in Zack Greinke, Chad Billingsley, and additional draft picks.
After all was said and done, Iron City was able to acquire or hold on to 16 draft picks. The following is a breakdown of the choices, and the though process behind each.
1.8 Pedro AlvarezHonestly, we were quite shocked (and equally pleased) when Pedro "fell" to the 8th overall pick. One of Iron City's biggest needs is a solution at 3B (jury still out on Chris Johnson, and Andy LaRoche fell off a cliff), and being a long-suffering Bucco fan the Alvarez selection was a no-brainer. Not that there was any fault with the picks ahead of Alvarez, mind you (Heyward, Stanton, Davis, Santana, Garcia, Castro, and Strasburg). The toughest part of the pick was passing on Jeremy Hellickson, who Iron City management really coveted and expected to take with 1.8 if Alvarez went off the board.
2.8 Danny EspinosaFat chance that Hellickson would fall here, so the short list for this pick was Tabata, Domonic Brown, Chris Sale, Desmond Jennings, and Espinosa. All but Jennings and Espinosa went prior to this pick, so it was a toss-up between the pair. With Jennings clone Dexter Fowler on board via the Wainwright trade, we opted to go with Espinosa as the draft was very thin on quality middle infield prospects. Espinosa's power bat and solid defense should make him a Cowgunner staple for many years.
2.18 Ryan KalishKalish is a guy we really coveted, but he's not hyped as much as some of the other young outfielders in this draft. In any other league, we would have tried to steal him in the 3rd or 4th round. But Mudville has a large New England contingent and I knew Kalish would be no secret to them. So rather than gamble, we opted to take him here and hope some other names fell to our third round picks. Kalish is a complete ballplayer with above average tools across the board, though none individually blow you away. Our hope is that he becomes the next JD Drew, minus the injuries and mental issues. By all accounts Kalish is a gamer so we project many productive years ahead.
3.9 V. Chris CarterWe were legitimately shocked that Carter was available with our first third round pick. Without a doubt he was the best power bat on the board, and while his defense is suspect his bat is 100% legit. He may never hit for a high average, but annual returns of 30+ HR are reasonable to expect.
3.18 Jake McGeeWith some quality bats still on the board, it was tempting to keep addressing the offense (which is generally a safer investment), but power lefties like McGee don't come around often. He surely would have been gone sooner if he had a rotation spot waiting for him in Tampa, but with their crowded rotation his likely destination in the short term is the bullpen. It's quite possible that he'll return to starting down the line -- and if he does, this pick becomes larceny. But at worst, he should be a lights-out closer for the Rays and we'll gladly take that if that's the ultimate outcome.
3.20 FINED Ouch. Iron City's highest fine in franchise history. And it was fairly awarded. Management totally blew it regarding Ichiro's usage -- spoiled after years of unlimited J-0 at-bats, Tony Soprano and Co. blindly assumed Ichiro was (yet again) a J-0 this season. Wrong answer. He was in fact at-bat limited and as a result his usage far exceeded the allowable amounts. Fortunately, this had zero impact on the post-season as Iron City was a wild card and had to go through Hollywood, Olathe, and Cardiff on the road. Obviously there was plenty of great talent still on the board at 3.20, so this penalty really hurt. But it was self inflicted, so it's a no-whine zone.
4.7 Brandon BeachyThis pick seemed to upset a few managers, so hopefully the consensus is correct that Beachy should be a solid SP for the Braves.
4.16 Mark RogersEven though there are some bats still on the board we liked a lot (Allen Craig, Lars Anderson, Jason Donald), we decided we needed to keep plucking the power arms that were left in hopes that some do pan out. Rogers certainly has the pedigree to be a top of the rotation starter; it's all about health with him.
5.15 Jeremy JeffressDonald goes, Craig and Lars still on the board... but so is Jeffress. Next to Chapman, the hardest thrower in the draft (Strasburg now a question mark). With the trade to KC, Jeffress has an opportunity to start, as long as he can lay off the ganja. At worst he should be a late inning fireballer, and you can never have enough of those.
7.10 Allen CraigWith no 6th round pick, we had to sweat it out and hope that Craig dropped to us... and he did (Lars went though). Not a great defensive player, the bat is legit and he has a chance to start at 3B in St. Louis, or get some time in the OF. With LaRussa you know that guys will get their chances all over the place. As long as he keeps hitting, Tony will keep running him out there somewhere.
7.20 Tony SippThis pick was semi-need, semi-investment. Sipp's a power lefty RP who I was surprised to still find on the board this late. Probably because he's wild, but he also strikes out a batter (or more) an inning. With 40 man roster spots precious, we gladly added Sipp's 60+ IP to the bullpen to allow us to invest our other spots into young guys with limited PT.
8.15 Tyson RossLots of upside here; also surprised he slipped so late. One of the disadvantages of playing in Oakland I guess; no one knows your name (much like playing in Pittsburgh). If Ross can stay healthy (always a big question mark with pitchers) he could be a solid #3 SP, or you guessed it, a quality late inning power arm.
8.20 Brad LincolnWe kept Lincoln on our watch list the whole draft, assuming he'd go somewhere in the 4-6 round range due to his #4 overall selection pedigree and solid minor league season. Fortunately for Iron City, most teams must have focused on his horrendous rookie MLB numbers and let him drop. With no expectation or plans of taking him in this draft, we couldn't resist taking him here and stashing him in hopes that he puts it together in 2011. There will certainly be plenty of opportunity to make the rotation in Pittsburgh.
9.12 Greg HalmanFormerly an elite level prospect, most seem to have given up on Halman due to his horrendous strike zone discipline. History isn't kind to these types of free swingers, but Halman is also a very good defensive outfielder so he has other positive tools going for him. His logical comp is Preston Wilson, and if he turns out along those lines I'll be thrilled. More likely, he'll be the next Rob Deer (with a better glove), but in the 9th round that's still not too shabby.
9.15 Jhan MarinezWith all the young players in Florida this year, it was hard to keep track of them all. Marinez is one that I definitely took notice of. Very young, very raw, with a very live arm and great strikeout numbers in the minors. Some health concerns, but a potential future closer and one we gladly gobbled up late in the 9th.
10.1 Chris ResopOnce a top prospect, he had plenty of MLB struggles and went off of the radar. Atlanta ended up giving him a shot and he put it all together in their minor league system. Traded to the Bucs, his high strikeout rates continued and he was quite effective in his tenure. There's an outside chance he'll start in Pittsburgh, but most likely he'll be a regular in the pen and should rack up a lot of innings and strikeouts in that role.
10.20 Juan MirandaThe Cuban with the big stick... Pedro Cerrano anyone? Though I think Miranda hits the curve better. Regardless, he's a bit old at 27 to be a prospect, but has produced in the Yankees' minor league system and now has a chance to be an every day player in the desert. His primary competition at 1B will be Brandon Allen, who can also (sort of) play the outfield. So if both hit, Miranda's the likely option at first with Allen shifting to the outfield. He's a guy who could put up Luke Scott-type of numbers for a few years, and for Mr. Irrelevant that would be just dandy by us.
All in all, very happy with our draft. Would have loved more 1st and 2nd round picks, but decided to trade Wainwright and Sabathia too late to make that happen. I also don't recall a deeper draft EVER with catchers and first basemen. Which worked to our advantage, as we have Mauer and Pujols at those positions. So I was effectively able to cross those guys off my list and focus on players at the other positions. The impact of that was making the draft extra-deep from our perspective, as there were almost a full round's worth of quality C & 1B prospects.
We had really hoped to make Ichiro a Cowgunner for life, but in Mudville the worst thing you can do is ride the fence -- either go all-in to win, or go all-out in your rebuilding effort. So we wish Ichiro well in Olathe, and have the ceremonial one-day retirement contract already drawn up so he can finish his career wearing a Cowgunner cap.